What Egypt's unrest teaches us...

Egypt’s early 2011 wave of unrest, which eventually led to the demise of 30-year ruler Hosni Mubarak and to the rise of a an allegedly temporary military rule, has been perceived by bystanders worldwide as one of the greatest game-changers to the Middle East in decades. As such, it would be surprising if these events did not hold a few worthwhile lessons for professional risk analysts and keen observers alike.Read the whole article on the World Economic Forum's blog.They do.
World Economic Forum: Global Risks 2011
The World Economic Forum just published Global Risks 2011, the sixth edition of its yearly outlook on global risks in the next decade, which Andrew contributed to.This year's report highlights economic disparity (both within and among countries) and global governance failures as aggravating factors of nearly all of the 35 other global risks analyzed in the report. It also zooms in on macroeconomic imbalances, the perils of the illegal economy, and the fragile balance between water, food, and energy security.
Finally, the report looks at several risks to watch, ranging from demographic challenges to cyber (in)security.
Browse through its digital features (videos, charts, interviews) here
And read answers to readers' questions here
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Why won't Pakistan reform its intelligence services?
Pakistan's military-controlled Directorate for Inter-Services Intelligence (ISI) has long been known for maintaining ties with some of South Asia's most ruthless terrorist groups. Most recently, it has been argued that the ISI could have indirectly been behind India's deadly Mumbai attacks, leading New Delhi to pressure Islamabad to reform its controversial intelligence agency. Such reform would be in the United States' best interest, not only for obvious moral reasons but also to avoid a costly confrontation between two of Washington's key allies. Yet it appears few in Pakistan are truly pushing for a full clean-up of the ISI's historical networks; an observation that is particularly troubling if one considers the fact that many Pakistanis, too, have been terror targets in the past few years.
Wonder about the many reasons why the ISI can't, or won't cut off its militant ties? Andrew's got a full report available here and published by the Asia Sentinel.
Andrew's article was recommended by the World Politics Review's daily Media Roundup.
What do pirates do with their millions?

A couple of weeks ago, a prank Bloomberg wire went around the internet claiming Somali pirates had decided to buyout Citigroup. It provoked laughs. But given the amount of cash these sea bandits have acquired over the past year, is the idea really so absurd?Read Andrew's full investigation into pirates' preferred ways of spending money in ISN's Security Watch.
Roger Middleton, the author of a recent report on piracy in the Horn of Africa for the Chatham House think tank, estimates that pirates could have made as much as US$30 million to US$50 million since January 2008 alone. Each new ransom, he says, adds between half a million and two million more dollars to their coffers. That’s quite a sum. But what is it used for?
Why Ukrainians Don't Want NATO

On December 2-3, NATO foreign ministers will once again consider the Ukrainian government’s bid for a Membership Action Plan (MAP), the main precondition for entering the North Atlantic Alliance. Though Western policymakers remain divided over whether Kiev should be allowed to join at the risk of further arousing Russia, most say the Ukrainian people should have the right to “make choices about their own future” at all cost. Recent polls, however, show that in fact a majority of the country’s population is strongly opposed to the prospect of joining NATO: a puzzling revelation to work with.
Published in the Diplomatic Courier.
Baghdad to Paris: The undying axis
"We are opening our door to France, and are inviting it to take advantage of the opportunity we are offering it. It would be as much your interest as ours."
This quote, recounted by journalist Chris Kutschera in his Black Book of Saddam Hussein, is one that could well be attributed to Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki who just a few months ago invited French Foreign Minister Bernard Kouchner to provide his country with "high quality military equipment."
Yet, the open-ended offer is one that was in fact extended by Saddam to then French prime minister Jacques Chaban-Delmas in June 1972, over three decades ago.
Nothing better than this quid pro quo can convey the permanence of mutual interests in the close relations Paris and Baghdad have enjoyed ever since the early days of the Baath regime. France was in Iraq from the start, and now that its dictatorial partner has gone, it seems poised to take another run at living up to the war-torn country's expectations.
Read Andrew's full analysis of the renewal of French-Iraqi ties in ISN's Security Watch.
Andrew D. Bishop
Andrew is a graduate of the London School of Economics currently working for the risk analysis, scenario planning, and think tank branch of a leading non-profit foundation in Geneva, Switzerland. He is also a young freelance journalist and the founder, director, and editor of Leader's Talk, a platform dedicated to covering interviews given by world leaders on a daily basis. Andrew blogs at What You Must Read
Leader's Talk
Leader's Talk is an online platform which aims at collecting and analyzing the wide array of interviews given by world leaders in the English-language media on a daily basis. Visit Leader's Talk now.

